The Monetary Policy Briefing reports are produced every six weeks when the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) makes it decisions about the Official Cash Rate (OCR). Our track record is second to none in assessing medium-term prospects for the OCR. Annual subscription options are available for either all the six-weekly reports (i.e. eight per annum) or for the quarterly reports that relate to critique the full Monetary Policy Statements (i.e. the March, June, September and December reports).
The reports critique the RBNZ’s analysis and forecasts, and identify where outcomes for key parts of the economy, including the likes of inflation, labour costs, interest rates and consumer spending are likely to differ materially from what the RBNZ is predicting.
Our critiquing of the RBNZ’s analysis and forecasts will provide valuable big-picture or strategic insights into whether the OCR will behave in line with what the RBNZ is signaling. Our analysis will also often show that prospects for the OCR differ significantly from what the bank economists and other economic forecasters are predicting.
The first-class and independent analysis contained in the reports make them a must have for anyone interested in assessing and managing how interest rates impact on their business and/or investments.
Click here to download a sample of the analysis within the Monetary Policy Briefing reports.
Click here for information about subscription prices.
Interesting Timesis New Zealand’s premium economic outlook service. The reports deliver unparalleled insights into the outlooks for economic growth, interest rates, consumer spending, housing demand, labour costs, inflation and global growth prospects. They provide an overview of prospects for the NZD/USD and NZD TWI, with the Forex Prospects reports providing the full assessment of exchange rate prospects and general hedging recommendations for the NZD/USD. Annual subscriptions cover either monthly reports or quarterly reports (March, June, September and December).
The first-class and independent analysis contained in the reports make them a must have for anyone interested in assessing and managing how economic developments impact on their business and/or investments. They incorporate insightful leading indicator analysis, are presented in plain English and have a bit of fun along the way.
Click here to download a sample of the analysis within the monthly Interesting Times reports.
Click here for information about subscription prices.
Housing Prospects are New Zealand’s premium housing market reports. The first-class and independent analysis contained in the Housing Prospects reports make them a must have for anyone interested in the housing market. This includes developers, building and related companies, financiers, investors, real estate agents, valuers, law firms, government agencies and would-be home owners. Annual subscriptions cover either monthly reports (11 months per annum with a combined December/January report) or quarterly reports (March, June, September and December).
The Housing Prospects are produced 11 months per annum and focus primarily on the national existing house and section markets, but also provide insights on near-term house price prospects for 24 cities/districts.
Click here to download a sample of the Housing Prospects report that showcases our unique leading indicator analysis and explains the contents of the reports.
Click here for information about subscription prices.
These reports provide unique insights into the outlooks for existing house and section demand, and existing house and section prices. The predictions are based on definitive analysis of what drives housing cycles, including the impacts of interest rates, migration, affordability and tax changes. The reports contain analysis of whether it is a good, bad or an indifferent time to invest in housing, and an assessment of the merits of buying versus renting.
We also produce quarterly reports that provide assessments of regioanl and city/district existing housing and residential building prospects (see Regional Barometers).
The Building Barometer reports provide the best available insights into the outlook for national residential building activity, while the quarterly regional supplement reports provide a concise assessment of residential building prospects for six regions: Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Wellington and Canterbury.
The unique, independent and tried-and-true analysis contained in the Building Barometer reports make them a valuable business risk management tool for any firms involved in or impacted by residential building activity. This includes building and related companies, developers, financiers, councils and government agencies. Annual subscriptions cover either 12 monthly reports or four quarterly reports (i.e. the March, June, September and December monthly reports).
Our predictions are based on definitive analysis of what drives residential building activity, including the impacts of interest rates, migration, Canterbury rebuilding, affordability, property tax changes, the government housing initiatives and the competitiveness of new housing versus existing houses. Our forecasting framework is based on leading indicator charts. This framework is not only much more reliable than the traditional “black-box” forecasting models used by economists, but also enables subscribers to observe directly and better understand what drives residential building cycles.
The Building Barometer reports also include our assessment of the outlooks for interest rates, migration, section prices, apartment building activity, alterations and additions and reconstruction in Canterbury, and touch on the national, Canterbury and Auckland outlooks for non-residential building.
We also produce quarterly reports that provide assessments of regional and city/district residential building and existing housing market prospects for Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Wellington and Canterbury (see Regional Barometers) and quarterly supplements to the Building Barometer reports covering residential building prospects for 12 regions. For information about the sharply-priced the quarterly regional supplement reports contact Rodney (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. or 027 288 2209).
Click here to download a sample of the Building Barometer report that showcases our unique leading indicator analysis and explains the contents of the reports.
Click here for information about subscription prices.
Strategic Risk Analysis Limited takes your privacy seriously.
At certain times we will request personal information from you in order for you to complete online registration forms. Any information collected from these forms will only be used to help us administer our business and provide you with relevant services and information. We understand the need to safeguard your information, and respect your rights under the 1993 Privacy Act. We maintain our security standards and regularly update our technology to provide protection for your information. We will not sell, publish or give away your information.